A small live experiment
Editorial Intelligence vs FPL
A running experiment in evidence, judgement, football and occasionally making terrible decisions.
Fantasy football is a useful place to test Editorial Intelligence because the stakes are low and the feedback is fast.
There is too much information, sources vary wildly in quality, expert consensus can become groupthink, recent results distort judgement and every decision eventually produces an outcome.
The point is not to prove that Editorial Intelligence can predict football. It is to make the reasoning visible before the result arrives.
The running experiment
Episodes
Not weekly. Only when FPL produces a decision problem worth examining.
Editorial Intelligence vs FPL, part three: I gave AI all the context. It still got it wrong.
Editorial xG finished Gameweek 1 with 38 points against an average of 48. The best piece of reasoning we did all week — fixing an inconsistency in our own captaincy logic — made no difference to the score. Here's what a genuinely bad AI-assisted decision actually reveals.
Editorial Intelligence vs FPL, part two: the decision before the result
My Fantasy Premier League team is more or less frozen before Gameweek 1. Before a ball is kicked, here's the reasoning on record — including the moment Claude attacked our own argument for the captaincy and found it didn't hold up.
Editorial Intelligence vs FPL, part one: what counts as enough evidence to change your mind?
I'm using Fantasy Premier League as a low-stakes test of Editorial Intelligence: too much information, competing signals, uncertain decisions and very fast feedback. The first real question was whether Arsenal beating Manchester City 3–0 was enough evidence to sell Erling Haaland.
Ground rules
How I’m playing it
- Record important reasoning before the result is known.
- Prefer primary evidence to commentary about the evidence.
- Treat social posts and expert picks as signals, not facts.
- Separate a good decision from a lucky outcome.
- Do not publish just because another gameweek happened.
- If writing about FPL becomes less fun than playing FPL, stop.
Keep in touch with Editorial Intelligence
Occasional updates on new research, findings and ways to take part.
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